Thursday, March 24, 2011

Lakers Season In Ron's Hands

Ron Artest will cost the Lakers a third straight NBA title.

I can see it.

Kobe will be double-teamed in the fourth quarter of a series clinching playoff game. Time is running down. 10...9...He will survey the court, elbows flailing, pivot foot barely attached to the floor as two defenders surround him without fouling. He will see a wide open man at the top of the key. 8...Kobe will pass him the ball contingent on the fact that he will break the double-team and get the ball right back. 7...Kobe passes, breaks it and immediately demands the ball. He's got the shot. But he won't get the ball back. In a panic, the open man will heave a 28-footer. It's game 7 all over again, they will say. He's going to do it again! But not this time. With time still on the clock, Ron Artest will shoot an airball and the Lakers will lose. Lightning won't strike a third time.

Trust me, this scenario scares the hell out of Laker fans. They may not show it now, but when a crucial playoff game comes down to a single possession, and believe me at some point it will, they will be petrfied at the thought of Ron Artest having the 2010-2011 season in his hands.

But for at least one night, Ron Artest could do no wrong. He blew kisses to the fans like an Oscar winner, he flexed his arms, showing off his obscenely large, linebackeresque left and right biceps and even did a little dance after hitting a key off-balance 15-footer in the Lakers 139-137 three overtime thriller against the Suns.

Artest shot 7-14 for 18 points, five of which came in the final two minutes of the third overtime. He shot 3-5 from three and had a key steal and dunk to help seal the victory.

The Lakers have been unstoppable since the all-star break, winning 13 of their first 14 games. They are winning with defense giving up over 100 points only twice in that span and both of those games went into overtime.

Last week, I wrote that all is well in Hollywood. Despite a loss to Miami, everything is still good in Lakerland. Today, ESPN ran a feature by Ramona Shelburne that discussed how Artest is slowly coming out of his funk. The feature described how players and Laker management tried to communicate to Artest his importance to the team and a championship run, despite his struggles earlier in the season.

The feature says his stats have inched up since the all-star break and the trade deadline, and maybe some have. But some have not. Excuse me for thinking that the Lakers still have work to do. Consider the fact that Ron Artest made news the other night against the Suns for finally playing a solid game. In March, Artest is shooting 37.2% from the field (down from 42% in February), and only 32% from 3-point range. His true shooting percentage of 48% is a full 3% worse than last season's.

What happens if Kobe duplicates his 6-24 performance in a game 7, like he did in last year's NBA finals? Artest was heroic that night, putting up 20 points 5 rebounds and 5 steals. This season, Artest has eclipsed 20 points one time and that was in a February 23 overtime victory against the Trailblazers, when he scored 24.

Granted, when playing alongside Kobe Bryant, the odds of even getting enough looks to reach 20 points is slim - just ask Pau Gasol - but can Ron repeat that Finals performance when the Lakers need him? He's averaging career lows in nearly every category and his defense has been uneven at times.

Artest swarmed Kevin Durant for six straight games in last year's first round, holding him to only 35% shooting and 25 points a game. In game 6 and 7 of the Finals, he held Paul Pierce to 37% from the field. Slightly above the NBA average defensively won't get it done in the post-season for Artest. If he can't contribute on offense, he has to duplicate his defensive prowess of last year's post-season.

Teams in the playoffs will hound Kobe and try to rough up Gasol. So who will step up? Andrew Bynum has been playing better basketball since coming off numerous knee injuries. But as a young center with a history of knee trouble, he is bound to have up and down games in the post-season. The interior play of Lamar Odom and Pau Gasol could determine how the west shakes out. Pau Gasol has been his usual 20 and 10 but it is the play of Lamar Odom this season that has Kobe saying after the Suns game that L.O. is "sixth man of the year. Hands down."

Along with the improved play of Odom, the Laker bench is deeper than last season's squad. The addition of Matt Barnes may hide some of Artest's warts, but come crunch time, odds are Phil Jackson will likely have Artest on the floor for defensive purposes.

Last postseason, Artest had the game winning put back in game five of the Western Conference Finals against the Suns, instinctively placing himself in the perfectly right place at exactly the right moment. He had Game 7 against the Celtics. Lightning struck twice. I can't see it happening again.

The Many Posterizations of Chris Bosh

I'm sick today but watching these clips of Chris Bosh getting embarrassingly dunked on made me feel a little better. Enjoy!


Rodney Stuckey (last night)


Paul Pierce (my favorite)
 

Rajon Rondo

Jordan Farmar

Dwight Howard

Richard Jefferson

Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Can Sixers Grab the Fifth?

As the New York Knicks do their best Miami Heat impression and take time to "figure it out," the Philadelphia 76ers are playing solid basketball. Granted, they dont have the horsepower of the Heat, Bulls or Celtics, but they do have a coach of the year candidate in Doug Collins who demands the Sixers play hard for 48 minutes. In the NBA, this mindset accounts for important wins down the stretch that will likely determine playoff seeding in the Eastern conference.

The Sixers currently stand sixth in the Eastern conference, four games behind the fifth seeded Atlanta Hawks whom they play tomorrow night, and one game ahead of the Knicks for seventh. If the playoffs were to begin today, the Sixers would face the Miami Heat in the opening round. Yes, the Heat have their issues. But name me a team not named the Celtics that genuinely want to play 'Bron and Wade in a seven-game series?

In a previous post, I wrote that the Sixers cannot fall in love with .500. Yes, making the playoffs is an accomplishment after a 3-13 start, but in a league where 16 out of 30 teams make the playoffs, at or around .500 simply puts Philly back in no mans land. Once again stuck in mediocrity.

So, the Sixers have 12 games to either make up 4 games on the Hawks or face another first round exit, which would be their third in five years. The Sixers have not gotten out of the first round since the 2002-2003 season.

Let's go game by game and see what record we theoretically come up with here. The Sixers are currently 36-34. HOME team in caps.

  • Hawks versus SIXERS = win 37-34
  • HEAT versus Sixers = loss 37-35
  • Kings versus  SIXERS = win 38-35
  • BULLS versus Sixers = loss 38-36
  • Rockets versus SIXERS = win 39-36
  • Nets versus SIXERS = win 40-36
  • BUCKS versus Sixers = win 41-36
  • CELTICS versus Sixers = loss 41-37
  • Knicks in SIXERS = win 42-37
  • Raptors in SIXERS= win 43-37
  • Magic in SIXERS = loss 43-38
  • Pistons in SIXERS = win 44-38
I have them generously going 8-4 in their remaining 12 to finish 44-38. Eight out of their remaining 12 are at home — a good sign for a team that's 22-11 in the Wells Fargo Center.

Atlanta, sitting at 40-30, would have to go 4-8 in their remaining games for the Sixers to take the fifth seed in tiebreakers. The Hawks play six on the road and six at home, but have a difficult slate of home games remaining including games against the Bulls (tonight), Nets, Magic, Celtics, Spurs and Heat. The Hawks could go 1-5 at home the rest of the way. They play a kinder road schedule including games against the Sixers (Wednesday), Cavs, Rockets, Pacers, Wizards, Bobcats. They would need to lose three of those games. Unlikely, considering the Hawks are a pretty decent road team at 19-16, but possible.

Still, this is not about the Hawks. This is about the Sixers. This season the Sixers proved they can be an entertaining group — a team the city has certainly kept their eyes on. But as spring training yields to opening day and Eagles management gear up for another NFL draft, the Sixers need to find a way to remain relevant in this town. Can they make a run? Can they avoid the Big 3 in Miami and the Big 3 in the Eastern conference? These next 12 games will likely decide.

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Defending D'Antoni

In an interview with Stephen A. Smith, Charles Barkley said the New York Knicks "may be the worst defensive team in the history of basketball."

While I won't go that far, let's look at the stats:
  • Last 5 games: giving up 113.8 points a game
  • Rank 25th in defensive rebound rate
  • Rank 25th in field goal percentage defense
  • Rank 29th in team defense giving up 106 points a game
  • Gave up a combined 59 points on 65% shooting to Tyler Hansbrough in back to back games, both losses.
Right now, it is easy to go after Mike D'Antoni's defensive schemes. Actually, it would be difficult to go after his schemes because they are nonexistent. Stephen A. Smith brought up a good point when he noted that Mike D'Antoni coached teams have never averaged less than 100 points a game defensively. I'll give D'Antoni the benefit of the doubt here and say that the lack of practice time coupled with new players, along with playing enough games for opposing teams to scout and exploit their defensive weaknesses, have created the perfect storm of crappy D over the past five games.

This may be a stretch, but bare with me.

According to Hoopdata.com, the Knicks rank 6th in defensive play rate (15.4/100 possessions). What's this mean? It means the total number of blocks, steals and charges per 100 possessions. It means the Knicks have the players to get defensive stops and create turnovers if they put in the effort. They can get steals from Fields (1.08/gm), Billups (1.67/gm) and Melo (.97/gm) and blocks from Turiaf (1.10/gm) and Amare (2.02/gm). Turiaf  and Jeffries have the right defensive mentality to take charges too. The Knicks have shown they can play defense when in the right frame of mind. I point to the Miami Heat game in which they held James and co. to 86 points, giving up only 52 points in the last 3 quarters. They also forced 20 turnovers which tied Miami's season high.

Sure, the Heat game was sandwiched between losses to the Cavs and Magic in which the Knicks gave up 115 and 116 respectively, but the point is, the Knicks have the personnel to get stops. D'Antoni can emphasize defense all he wants but until the Knicks embrace the defensive end, they will not go anywhere in the playoffs. This is where the Chauncey Billups' on court leadership will be key. From everything we hear from players, coaches and sportswriters, Billups will hold his team accountable. Defense is not just about mindset, but accountability. That falls on the players.

I expect Carmelo Anthony to take more of a leadership role on the defensive end in the playoffs as well. He got the trade. He got the money. He wanted the spotlight. It's time he shows he can help lead a team on both ends of the floor.

Can the Knicks play hard on the defensive end every night in the playoffs? Only if D'Antoni and his team fully embrace it. Despite the ugly stats saying otherwise, the Knicks  have the pieces to be a decently defensive team.

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

Game Day Feature: Geoff Arnold

Geoff Arnold’s last game as a collegiate athlete was played in front of 34,000 people at a sold out Carrier Dome in the second round of the 1986 NCAA tournament. Although the 6th seeded Hawks would eventually fall in an upset to the 14th seeded Cleveland State Vikings, Arnold told his players that he hopes one day all of their careers would end like his – in late March in front of a raucous crowd.
           
To his young squad, the 1986 NCAA tournament might as well have been played in the stone age, so Arnold rarely speaks of “back in my day.” Still, when the Hawks recently faced Fordham University at the Izod Center, in East Rutherford, NJ, Arnold, a senior captain and point guard on the 1986 team, took a moment to tell his current Hawks team that they were playing on the site of his greatest basketball moment – the 1986 Atlantic 10 Championship game
         
“It was the greatest game I ever played in,” Arnold explained. “We won the Atlantic 10 championship in that building. It is a moment I will always remember.”

Arnold, the third year assistant for the Hawks, is on his second stint at his alma mater. He initially joined the Hawks staff as an assistant from 1993-1996, before leaving to join his former Hawk teammate Bruiser Flint at the University of Massachusetts. He then came back to Philadelphia when Flint was hired as head coach of Drexel University. Arnold is credited for his recruiting while at Drexel, which helped the Dragons reach the postseason four times in seven seasons. He returned to Hawk Hill for the 2008-2009 season under head coach Phil Martelli.

“I had the opportunity to coach at the three different schools and I met a lot of great people and been given tremendous opportunities,” Arnold said.

Recalling moments and memories is easy for a former player and longtime assistant like Arnold. But for this young group of Hawks, each game and each road trip brings with it new challenges and unfamiliar territory. They are going into many basketball games with a clean slate, with no memories to fall back on.

“Every road trip is a new adventure in their careers, visiting hostile environments and playing in different atmospheres,” Arnold explained. “Creighton, Penn State, Temple, these are harsh atmospheres and it is going to affect their play early on. “

Arnold described going on a recent road trip to play the University of Massachusetts Minutemen. Most of the team had never played in Amherst before. In fact, only two Hawk players on the roster had ever played at UMass.

“Most of our guys never played at Dayton, Saint Louis or at the Liacouras Center,” Arnold admitted. “If you experienced the situation before, you have recall and you can rely on that recall. You can relax. You know the defensive rotations, or the offensive plays and you can just play and adapt. Without that recall, you’re playing at a disadvantage. But as we head towards the end of the season, they are beginning to learn how to play in those types of environments and in tougher situations.”

Their improved play in hostile environments was exemplified in their come from behind victory over Fordham University in mid-February. In that victory, the Hawks were down as much as 16 early in the second half. The Hawks used the 3 pointer to climb back into the game going 12 of 25 for the contest. The Hawks were led by freshman Langston Galloway, who led all scorers with 25 points. The victory was also the 1,500th in school history.

“We talk of recall and going through the processes and remaining comfortable in any situation,” Arnold said. “That victory proved to our guys that we can come back from large deficits. They can rely on that in tough situations down the road. They can draw on those experiences as they get more games under their belts.”

Plenty has been said regarding the Hawks and their young team. Arnold spoke of a team that despite their age, comes to practice every day willing to learn. That approach, although rarely seen by the public, will translate onto the court on game days.

“They want to get better and they are hard workers,” Arnold said. “That’s the stuff most people don’t see. It’s late in the season and they are still coming to practice every day ready to learn. That’s good because they have a lot to learn.”

Monday, March 7, 2011

Power Rankings 3/7

The Heat and Hawks take a dip in the latest edition of the 9450 Power Rankings. The Lakers are riding their seven game win streak, moving up to the third spot. Meanwhile, the steady Celtics just keep winning despite a new cast of characters.

1. San Antonio Spurs (51-12) (1)
A 16 point thumping on their home floor at the hands of the defending champs has to be worrisome for the Spurs. Tim Duncan has scored a total of 12 points in three games versus the Lakers this season. If these two meet in the playoffs, San Antonio will be needing the Big Fundamental's all around game to vastly improve. Tony Parker's early return was a relief to his fantasy owners (me).
2. Boston Celtics (46-15) (3)
Winners of five straight and eight out of their last 10, the Celtics just keep Winning! despite the lack of a true center. Shaq's return was postponed amid whispers that he needs to lose weight in order for his feet to make through the second season. Shocking. Nenad Krstic, starting for Shaq, went 7-8 from the field for 17 points last night against the Bucks. Jeff Green chipped in 11.
3. Los Angeles Lakers (43-15) (5)
Sunday marked LA's 23rd road victory, tying last season's total. The Lakers are riding a 7 game winning streak thanks to a defense that has held its last 4 opponents under 90 points. Matt Barnes' return provides an energetic spark off the bench for a team hitting its stride at the right time.
4. Chicago Bulls (43-18) (4)
People will be talking about the late game failures of the Heat, but how about the clutch team defense by the Bulls on the Heat's last possession? Four Bulls suffocated James, who was forced to throw up a wild left handed layup instead of passing to an open spectator...er teammate.
5. Dallas Mavericks (42-19) (2)
Despite the one-point loss to the Grizzlies, the Mavs have the best shooting big man in the game. In the closing seconds what's better than having Dirk at the top of the key for a pick and pop with Jason Kidd? In other news, Mark Cuban is in talks to develop a TV show with Charlie Sheen for HDNet. Yikes.
6. Orlando Magic (40-23) (7)
Really thought the Magic had something after their thrilling come form behind victory over the Heat. But an 8 point loss to Chicago and Howard earning his 16th technical foul, which will result in a one game suspension ruins all of the momentum. Howard must find a way to control his anger, even though he does get beat up night in and night out down at the block. How about a teammate or two stepping up?
7. Oklahoma City (39-22) (8)
Kendrick Perkins has yet to play for the Thunder. Nate Robinson just had knee surgery and will be out 4-6 weeks. Sorry Mr. Presti, advantage Ainge.
8. Miami Heat (43-20) (6)
Here are the stats that you already know: 1-9 versus top 5 (Spurs, Celts, Mavs, Bulls, Lakers), 1-18 from the field by the Big 3 in the last 10 seconds of games decided by 3 points or less. Here's one you may not know: According to Hoopdata, Chris Bosh is shooting 46.4% from 10-15 feet and 44% from 16-23 feet -  both numbers are the highest among the Big 3. Pick and pop with Bosh at the top of the key, with Wade handling the rock ...please!
9. Denver Nuggets (37-27) (13)
Saturday's 100-94 loss to the lowly Clippers may prove to be the end of the honeymoon for the Nugget newcomers. The Nuggets are in the midst of playing seven of eight on the road, including a trip to Florida to face the Magic and Heat.
10. Memphis Grizzlies (35-29) (14)
Zach Randolph's reverse Lebron gave the Grizz a huge win over the Mavericks last night. It's early, but in March the Grizz have already beat the Spurs and Mavericks, with a clunker to the Hornets sandwiched in between. Randolph, although an All-star snub, is third in the leage in rebounding and shooting nearly 50% from the field.
11. New York Knicks (32-29) (10)
The Knicks have yet to win two straight games since the Melo deal. Mike D'Antoni has all but scrapped the seven seconds or less offense for a style better suited for their two stars. The results will take time, so say Melo and Amare. But will the Knicks gel in time to string together wins and improve their standing in the East? Imagine the Knicks get hot, the Heat faulter and the rest of the world get to witness an epic 4 versus 5 playoff matchup.
12. Portland Trail Blazers (35-27) (12)
LaMarcus Aldridge is not surprisingly the barometer for the Portland Trail Blazers. In wins, Aldridge averages 24.7 points a game. In losses, only 19.1 points a contest.
13. Philadelphia 76ers (32-30) (15)
Andre Iguodala has posted two straight triple doubles for a Sixers team 2 games over .500 for the first time all year. It's Iggy's third triple double of the season (all of them coming in the past three weeks).Credit coach of the month, Doug Collins for allowing Iggy's game as a playmaker to blossom alongside key bench contributors Louis Williams and Thaddeus Young. This team will be a nuisance for any playoff opponent.
14. New Orleans Hornets (37-28) (11)
CP3 looks to be okay after a scary collision that had the four-time all-star being carried off the court on a stretcher. He is listed as out for tonight's game against the Bulls. The Hornets have not reached 100 points in nearly a month and are now missing their leader for what may be an extended period of time.
15. Atlanta Hawks (37-26) (9)
The Hawks were down 14-0 to start the game against the Chicago Bulls, but clamped down and won a nail-biter 83-80, thanks to Al Horford's 31 and 16. Two straight losses against the Knicks and Thunder have wiped away all the good feelings from the Bulls game. The next three are no easier for the Hawks who still have to play the Lakers, Bulls again and the Trail Blazers.
16. Houston Rockets (32-32) (18)
At the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference at MIT, Houston GM Daryl Morey described what he looks for in evaluating players. The first warning sign for point guard Marcus Banks was when he told Morey his goal in life was to become a fashion model.
17. Phoenix Suns (32-29) (16)
Channing Frye may be out a few weeks with a dislocated shoulder. Look for the Polish Hammer, Marcin Gortat to get an extended run for the Suns who are in a battle with the Rockets and Grizzlies for the 8th and final playoff spot in the west.
18. Utah Jazz (33-30) (17)
The Jazz have only 4 wins since February (4-14). Of those four wins, two have come against the last place Sacramento Kings. What's worse, Paul Milsap may miss some time due to an ailing knee. Rookie Derrick Favors would get the start at power forward in Milsap's place.
19. Golden State Warriors (26-32) (19)
Golden State owner Joe Lacob recently revealed he had discussion with other teams about a possbily trading Monta Ellis or Stephen Curry. It was also reported that Golden State was interested in acquiring Portland forward Gerlad Wallace, offering center Andris Biedrins, also to no avail. Lacob is on the verge of blowing up this current Warriors squad this offseason. The run and gun style, while fun, has produced little in years.
20. Charlotte Bobcats (26-36) (21)
Tyrus Thomas will be back at practice for the Bobcats on Tuesday and may suit up and even start ahead of Boris Diaw. Perhaps Thomas can give this Bobcats squad a shot of life because after their 69 point effort against the Trail Blazers without Stephen Jackson, left a lot to be desired for MJ's squad. With Jackson out, Gerald Henderson, the newly dubbed starting SG will assume more of the scoring load.
21. Indiana Pacers (27-35) (20)
After three straight defeats to eastern conference opponents, the Pacers are just a game up on Charlotte for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East. According to a recent report, the Pacers will hold a players only meeting to get back on track.
22. New Jersey Nets (19-43) (24)
The Nets swept the Raptors in London. I hope the Londonites understand how little of a deal this is. Although, Hornets PF and potential free agent called the Nets situation "Interesting." How uninteresting that quote was.
23. Los Angeles Clippers (23-40) (23)
With Eric Gordon out again with a wrist injury, look for sg Randy Foye to take over the scoring responsibilities. I also like Chris Kaman coming back from injury. The Clippers have talent all over their lineup, but just could not stay healthy to make a real run in the West.
24. Milwaukee Bucks (23-38) (22)
Brandon Jennings got his wish. He's starting again, his minutes are up, his scoring is up and his shooting percentage is woeful. In his last five games, Jennings is shooting 37.5% from the field and 30.4% from the 3 point line. In that time, Jennings is only averaging 3 assists. Although the assists are not entirely his fault. The Bucks simply cannot score averaging only 90.1 points a game, good for last in the NBA.
25. Cleveland Cavaliers (12-50) (26)
Baron Davis aka The Beard aka B. Diddy aka the New Ochocinco is trying to reclaim his love for the game of basketball. I guess all that money really soured him on the game.
26. Detroit Pistons (23-41) (30)
Welcome to the John Kuester doghouse Tracy McGrady! And to make matters worse, at the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, Jeff Van Gundy described TMac as the antithesis to Malcolm Gladwell's 10,000 hour rule, calling TMac's 1000 hour rule. Basically, TMac was called out for not putting in the time to be great despite having all of the God-given talents. Rough week for TMac.
27. Minnesota Timberwolves (15-49) (25)
Kevin Love was allegedly being recruited by  players and coaches during All-star weekend in LA. Can't blame them. Tonight he has a chance to break Moses Malone's record by netting his 51st straight double double. I would like to personally thank Mr. Love for making me look like a genius drafting him in the 4th round.
28. Washington Wizards (16-46) (29)
Still sitting on one road victory. This poorly constructed team needs a reboot and it may do it without Flip's services.
29. Toronto Raptors (17-46) (27)
The Raptors were swept by the Nets in London over the weekend giving up 116 points and 137 points in the two losses. Andrea Bargnani can light it up but his refusal to play any sort of defense will always hinder this club.
30. Sacramento Kings (15-45) (28)
The Sacramento Kings are likely moving to Anaheim after a meeting between Sacramento mayor and former NBA star Kevin Johnson and the Maloof brothers yielded zero progress. Such a shame because when the Kings were good, Arco Arena was the loudest building in the NBA.

No Drama in Hollywood

While that team in South Beach answers questions about crying in locker rooms and bricking buzzer beaters, the defending champions are doing what they do best - cruising.

Make it seven straight since the all-star break for the suddenly hot Lakers. The Lakers have been doing it with defense. Sunday against the league-leading San Antonio Spurs (51-12), marked the fourth straight game the Lakers held their opponent under 90 points. Andrew Bynum is rounding into regular season form, averaging 11 points, 12 rebounds and 3.4 blocks in 29 minutes of action over his last five games. The last two games, Bynum has pulled down 17 boards. Bynum is currently averaging 26 minutes a night and it will be interesting to see whether head coach Phil Jackson will play him more to get him in game shape or hold him back to keep his knees healthy in anticipation of a long playoff run.

The Lakers are getting healthier during their win streak as they welcomed Matt Barnes back into the rotation. Barnes missed the last 26 games due to a partially torn tendon in his knee. The Lakers went 18-8 in his absence, but they certainly missed his defensive intensity and ability to stretch the floor and hit the long distance jumper. His return will provide much needed depth and should ease the offensive pressure off Ron Artest, who is shooting only 35% over his last five games and just a tick over 40% for the entire season.

Kobe Bryant did receive his 13th technical foul on Sunday. Sixteen technicals warrant an automatic one-game suspension. With the Lakers still six and a half games behind the Spurs in the chase for the best record and home court throughout the playoffs, each game is crucial. Still, I don’t expect Bryant to change his demeanor, especially as we come down the stretch and the games garner particular importance. In other words, don’t expect tears from 24.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Kings Moving to Anaheim?

According to NBA.com's Scott Howard-Cooper via Twitter, Sacramento mayor and ex-NBA player Kevin Johnson, said that it is "more likely they're [the Kings] going to be in Anaheim."

Marc J. Spears from Yahoo!Sports said via Twitter it would take a major collapse by Anaheim for the Kings to remain in Sacramento. According to Howard-Cooper, if the Maloofs can get the deal they want from Anaheim, they are as good as gone.

Why Wait?

The Knicks? Don't worry about the Knicks. They're title contenders now. The Nuggets? Oh, well you don't really have to worry about the Nuggets either. They just beat the Indiana Pacers by 40...without Danilo Gallinari, a key component in the three-team, 13 player trade that sent the Nuggets four time All-star, Carmelo Anthony to Broadway.

Knicks GM Donnie Walsh and Nuggets first year GM Masai Ujiri, sat on opposite sides of the country, table and phone line, trading names and figures, trudging through the rumors and innuendo, for six solid months. Today, they have to be thinking, "What the hell were we waiting for?"

Ujiri insisted the Nuggets "got killed" in the Melo deal. Perhaps giving up Chauncey Billups in the deal was the "killer", maybe he was lowering expectations, but the truth is the 13 player swap injected some much needed life into the Nuggets. George Karl said he has never coached a deeper team and I believe him. Yes, the Nuggets gave up the best player in the deal, but they received 3 NBA-proven starters, two under the age of 24, plus a young center, draft picks and $3 million. They are at least two deep at every position and can play a variety of styles.

Wanna go uptempo? Let's go small with Ty Lawson at the point and Raymond Felton at the 2 and maybe Al Harrington at the 4 spot. Since the trade, the Nuggets are averaging 107 points a contest. The pride of Freehold, NJ, J.R. Smith has stepped up his all around game shooting 52% from three and averaging 15.8 pts, 7rbs and 3asts in 27 minutes of action, all while staying out of coach Karl's doghouse.

Need some defense? Let's switch Felton to the point, bring in Aaron Afflalo at shooting guard, the Birdman at Center and move Nene to his more natural position at power forward. In the five games since the trade, the Nuggets are giving up 91.8 points a game. In the five games prior to the Melo deal, the Nuggets were giving up 112 points a contest. They're offense has spiked while they're defense has clamped down. And, most importantly to coach Karl, the Nuggets are playing as a team. Against the Pacers, the Nugs had 34 assists off of 45 made baskets and 7 players in double figures, with newcomer Wilson Chandler leading the way with only 16 points.

Chants of "Melo Who?" are echoing through the Pepsi Center. Maybe the question the Nuggets faithful should be asking is "Why Did You Wait So Damn Long?" Although 7 words is exorbitantly long for a chant.

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

DRose Leaves the MVP Door Open

The Chicago Bulls gave up a 14-0 lead to start the game in their 83-80 loss to the Atlanta Hawks tonight in Atlanta. The Hawks were playing without Josh Smith, who was getting an MRI on his injured knee. Derrick Rose shot a woeful 5-21 from the field including going 0-6 from three. Rose's poor shooting over the last five games should not be taken lightly. Over the last five contests, Rose is shooting 35% from the field and only 20% from the three point line.

Rose's poor shooting just happened to coincide with Dwight Howard's best five-game run of the season, opening the door in the NBA MVP race.

The Orlando Magic are riding a three game win streak since Dwight Howard’s mini-outburst that questioned his team’s heart. Howard himself has exploded, averaging 30 pts., 13.6 rbs., and 4 blks in those three games, while shooting 64% from the field. He has 11 straight games of 20 or more pts and 10 or more rebounds and 19 straight double doubles overall. Over the last five games, Howard has average 30.6 points and 13.6 boards, along with 3.6 blocks.

In the last game before the All-star break, Derrick Rose put his stamp on the MVP race with a monster performance against the league leading San Antonio Spurs, dropping a career high 42 points. Rose comes up big in big games and that is a sign of a true MVP. However, Dwight Howard's performance in the latter month of February and beginning of March should not be ignored. Howard took over late in the game against the Knicks and has a chance to make the MVP race quite interesting if he can string together a few more 30 and 15 nights -  especially against his next two opponents, who just happen to be LeBron James' Miami Heat and Derrick Rose's Chicago Bulls.

Looks like the MVP race just got interesting.

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Post-Deadline Power Rankings

The trade deadline has passed, swinging power from the Western Conference to the East thanks to a flurry of deals that sent two of the top ten players in the NBA to the Knicks and Nets respectively. Although the Spurs remain on top, the trade for Carmelo Anthony made an immediate impact for the Knicks moving them up six spots in the 9450 Power Rankings. Although, the league is said to be devoid of parity, I count nine teams (the top 8 and the new-look Knicks...sorry Atlanta) that have a legitimate shot to make the NBA Finals.

1. San Antonio Spurs (49-10) (1)
The injury bug has finally hit the Spurs. We'll learn if it actually hurt them in the next two weeks when they play Miami twice, the Lakers and the Dallas Mavericks without starting point guard Tony Parker, who will be out 2-4 weeks with a strained left calf. George Hill will step in and start for the Spurs, who still hold 5.5 game lead over the Mavericks for the league's best record and home court advantage throughout the playoffs and Finals.
2. Dallas Mavericks (43-16) (3)
Winners of six straight and nine out of their last 10, the Mavericks are deep, healthy and confident. Jason Terry recently said they will eventually catch the Spurs for first place in the division. With Parker out and the Mavs hot, now is their opportunity.
3. Boston Celtics (43-15) (2)
You give up your starting center in order to fill the James Posey Role from the championship squad in 2008 with a solid player in Jeff Green. Couldn't Mr. Ainge have made a smaller deal for an Anthony Parker-type player and still have kept Perk? Seems like Ainge just didn't want to pay a center with a bad knee $50 mil.
4. Chicago Bulls (41-17) (5)
The Bulls elected to value chemistry over a trade at the deadline, although they did try to work a deal for O.J. Mayo and Anthony Parker. Hey, if they could get by without Bron, I am damn sure MVP candidate Derrick Rose and the Bulls can get by without Mayo. The Bulls currently rank third in offensive efficiency and first in the NBA in defensive efficiency giving up a paltry 97.3 points per every 100 possessions.
5. Los Angeles Lakers (42-19) (6)
The Lakers have quietly won four straight, including the first three since the All-star break and are flying under the radar thanks to the combination of standing pat and a flurry of moves by teams all around them in the standings. L.A. has been in chill mode all year. Hopefully, they can flip the switch in May for the playoffs.
6. Miami Heat (43-17) (4)
The Heat are now below .500 against teams with winning records. But they will have plenty of chances to improve on that mark as their next 10 games are all against teams with winning records and 13 of their remaining 22. Bron's latest Channing Frye impersonation (see: Phoenix) failed against the Knicks. When will D3 step in and demand the ball late in games for the Heat?
7. Orlando Magic (38-22) (8)
I loved Dwight Howard getting on his team for their lackadaisical performances of late. I loved even more how he went out and put up massive numbers. Over his last five games, Dwight Howard is averaging 30.2 points and 13 boards a contest. A foil to SVG's daily outbursts, Dwight is finally getting serious and becoming a leader for a team with a new crew and in desperate need of a captain.
8. Oklahoma City Thunder (36-22) (7)
Everyone praised Sam Presti for the shrewd trade and subsequent contract extension for Kendrick Perkins. I agree, but still feel like it was a year late. They get a big man at the deadline last year, the Thunder win that Laker series. Believe that. I will say this for Presti, he probably knew that and made sure he did not make the same mistake this year as the Thunder gear up for a Finals run.
9. Atlanta Hawks (36-24) (9)
I thought the Hinrich deal was a steal for the Hawks, ridding themselves of the capable but old and defensively challenged Mike Bibby. Then, I watched Hinrich play...he looked like a younger Bibby -  capable but defensively challenged. He is also hurt and missed Monday's game. I like this deal less and less.
10. New York Knicks (30-27) (16)
The points and boards will be there for Melo. but let's talk about his defense. When did Melo ever say "I got Bron on D from here on out" during his tenure in Denver? The answer is never. But the Knicks, especially Amare, looked inspired by Melo's defensive prowess and intensity, holding the Heat to 84 points and only 53 points after the first quarter. They are Finals contenders. Consider me seduced.
11. New Orleans Hornets (35-26) (12)
The addition of Carl Landry will provide much needed insurance in case Emeka Okafor or David West go down again. Not that Chris Paul didn't love playing alongside Aaron Gray and Jason Smith for 35 minutes a night.
12. Portland Trail Blazers (33-26) (10)
Gutsy win Sunday night against the Nuggets. Brandon Roy coming back for 25 minutes a night and the addition of Gerald Wallace will provide much needed depth for the Blazers. With trades sending out Donta Cunningham and Joel Pryzbilla, the Blazers are thin at the front court, but incredibly deep at the wing positions with young athletic shooters and finishers aplenty. the perfect combo for point guard and facilitator, Andre Miller
13. Denver Nuggets (35-26) (11)
Danilo Gallinari looks comfortable in his new surroundings as do Raymond Felton and Wilson Chandler. The Nuggets are deep, symbolized recently by Gallinari going down with a broken left big toe, Wilson Chandler stepping in to start and the Nuggets not breaking stride, in Monday night's 100-90 win over the Hawks.
14. Memphis Grizzlies (33-28) (13)
Welcome back O.J. Mayo! Having been traded to the Pacers at the deadline only to be told that the Grizzlies (or Pacers, depending on who you ask) missed the deadline by a minute, O.J. Mayo returns to the bench for the suddenly deep and possbily playoff-bound Grizzlies. The addition of Shane Battier will provide stability for a team that has had its share of drama this season.
15. Philadelphia 76ers (30-29) (14)
Coach of the year candidate Doug Collins has his team above .500 for the first time this year. While this is great news, they look to be stuck in the 7th or 8th position for the playoffs. Although only a game behind the Knicks for the 6th spot, the Sixers will have to go on another major run to catch and stay ahead of Gotham.
16. Phoenix Suns (31-27) (17)
Channing Frye hit a game winning 3-pointer at the buzzer to beat the Indiana Pacers. According to the Elias Sports Bureau it was the first time in his 6-year career that he hit a go-ahead field goal with 5 seconds or less remaining. The next night, he did it again. He is LeBron, only the exact opposite. Look out for Suns who have won 8 out 10 and are just a half game out of the final playoff spot in the West.
17. Utah Jazz (32-28) (15)
Since the Deron trade, Al Jefferson has average 26 points and 13 boards, perhaps feeling the pressure to produce following the acquisition of Derrick Favors. The Jazz are only a game out of the final playoff but will have to fight of the surging Suns, Grizzlies and Rockets for the spot, all the while getting acclimated with a new head coach and starting point guard in Devin Harris. Not out of the question, but a tough task nonetheless.
18. Houston Rockets (30-31) (18)
Chase Budinger has been inserted into the starting lineup replacing the departed Shane Battier and the results have been quite good. They have won all three games Chase has started at small forward and 5 out of their last 6 overall to climb back in the hunt for the 8th and final playoff spot. As a fantasy basketball owner, I have convinced myself to pickup Budinger. He better be available.
19. Golden State Warriors (26-32) (20)
Well, they matched their win total of last season at 26. But the playoffs are unlikely and the root cause will once again be the defense. Head coach Keith Smart was supposed to inject some defense into this one sided club, but the Warriors remain uninterested giving up 105.8 points a game, good for 28th in the league.
20. Indiana Pacers (26-32) (19)
This is a make a break road trip for Frank Vogel's Pacers. Six of their next seven are on the road against teams like the Thunder, Mavericks, Rockets and Knicks. Second round pick Lance Stephenson saw his first action against the Suns, with Mike Dunleavy out of the lineup Vogel may look to Stephenson to score off the bench and to at least see what he has with the talented player with plenty of off the court issues.
21. Charlotte Bobcats (26-33) (21)
Air Jordan has imploded a team destined for mediocrity. Look for Philly-kid and Duke-boy Gerald Henderson to get a significant run at shooting guard replacing the recently traded Gerald Wallace. Sure, there is Kwame Brown and Adam Morrison, but allowing Larry Brown to get his way and draft D.J. Augustin when you already had Raymond Felton and all your scouts insisted on drafting Brook Lopez, must keep 23 up at night...no it probably doesn't.
22. Milwaukee Bucks (22-36) (22)
Thought this team had another run in them, but injuries to Corey Maggette and Andrew Bogut have this team waiting til next year. On the bright side, Michael Redd is on pace to get back sometime soon.
23. Los Angeles Clippers (21-40) (23)
The Baron Davis trade cost the Clips a lottery pick in this year's draft. Getting rid of a team cancer before he corrupts your rookie superstar...priceless.
24. New Jersey Nets (17-43) (25)
16 months and counting for the Nets. You have 16 months to convince Deron that the Nets will surround him with talen in time for their move to Brooklyn. D-Will and Brook Lopez make a nice combination. Every one else could be moved in order for the Nets to be any sort of competitive next year.
25. Minnesota Timberwolves (14-46) (28)
I picture GM David Kahn roaming the streets of Minnesota in a dirty red sportcoat and full beard downing a carton of milk..."Jonny Flynn was a bad choice."
26. Cleveland Cavaliers (11-48) (30)
Break up the Cavs! They are 3-4 on their current 8-game homestand, including victories over the Lakers and Knicks. They're playing hard for coach Scott despite another injury. This time Antwan Jamison, who was nearly traded at the deadline, is now out with a fractured pinky.
27. Toronto Raptors (16-44) (26)
The knock on DeMar Derozan is that he can score, but he doesn't do much else. To that point, in February, Derozan averaged 19 points, but only 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while averaging over 36 minutes a contest.
28. Sacramento Kings (15-43) (29)
The Sacramento Kings sold out their game against the Clippers as fans show support for their last place team in the final game for Arco Arena. Arco will now be called Power Balance Pavilion. I still think they're moving to Anaheim.
29. Washington Wizards (15-43) (27)
When Mike Bibby gives up $6.2 million just to NOT play for your team, it may be time to try something new. When will the Flip Saunders era end?
30. Detroit Pistons (22-39) (24)
A mutiny? Really? You guys came up with a mutiny? This was your solution to all your problems? Idiots.